ENVISIONING A FEW POSSIBLE FUTURES The numerous uncertainties above (and probably a host of others) could propel a myriad of possible futures, depending on how events play out regarding each of them. Neither the AC21 nor USDA is in a position to predict what will actually happen. However, the AC21 believes it is useful to provide examples of possible futures, which are intended to illustrate how resolution of key uncertainties in particular ways could shape the future for the use of transgenic organisms in agriculture and the work of USDA. The scenarios share the certainties, but how the uncertainties play out influence how the scenarios are shaped.
Each scenario is intended as a coherent description of what the world might look like a decade from now, after events driven by the certainties and some of the key uncertainties listed above play out.