Our impacts outweigh on all levels



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the gutters, 2nc Lansing Rnd5, 1AC Practice 10-20, Speech 1ac Ag runoff 8-31 12AM, Speech 1AC CAFOs personal, send cards, Con Side, Movements DA, Marijuana Neg, Federalism DA, Court Packing DA, Death Penalty Negative, Death Penalty Affirmative, Aff AT Movements DA

Turkey and Russia Russia relationship is key to fostering diplomacy and solving the Ukraine conflict—it WILL absolutely go nuclear without good turkey Russia relations. The aff flips that because the aff kils relations because of NATO expansion and cohesiveness. Keeping Turkey out of the loop is good because it fosters antiwestern sentiment between Russia and Turkey, which solves for Ukraine and their relationship



Our impacts outweigh on all levels



Timeframe:



The impacts of the disad will happen NOW—that was our Sullivan 9/13 ev that stated that Russia is looking at the big red button because of the advancements that Ukraine has made in the war



The impacts of the disad will happen NOW—that was our Sullivan 9/13 ev that stated that Russia is looking at the big red button because of the advancements that Ukraine has made in the war



Probability—cross apply our Sullivan 9/13 ev for probability—putin is already looking at the big red button, and since ukraine’s momentum doesn’t look to be stopping, the probability that Russia escalates is pretty damn high



Magnitude—The Ukraine war should be the biggest impact you’re trying to solve—They haven’t answered our Brookes 3/31 card nor our Starr 15 card that says that the Ukraine war would go to nuclear extinction—and since they conceded defense to advantage one and since I read that there’s no nuke terror with Muller 21, that means that they don’t get any offense to weigh against the magnitude of the disad, which means that magnitude alone can win us the debate.



TL



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