Voice of America7/14 (Jim Malone, VOA National Correspondent, 7/14/10, " US Democrats Bracing For Election Setbacks ", http://www1.voanews.com/english/news/usa/US-Democrats-Bracing-For-Election-Setbacks-98441014.html)
In U.S. politics, President Barack Obama's public approval ratings are hitting new lows and a growing number of analysts now believe opposition Republicans have an excellent chance of winning back control of at least one chamber of Congress in midterm elections in November. The news for President Obama seems to be getting grimmer. The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll found that nearly 60 percent of those surveyed lack faith in the president to make the right decisions for the country, and that only 43 percent approve of his handling of the economy. Both figures are new lows for that poll. The negative poll ratings have been building for some time, according to Karlyn Bowman. Bowman monitors public opinion at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington. "Pew [poll] noted last week that more people think Obama is having an effect on the economy than felt that way a year ago," said Karlyn Bowman. "The bad news is that more people think he is making it worse rather than better." The president's overall approval rating is at or just under 50 percent in most recent polls, and that could spell trouble for Democrats trying to hold onto their majorities in Congress in the November midterm elections. Poor presidential approval ratings usually mean losses for the president's party in midterm congressional elections. In addition, the Democrats are fighting history. With very few exceptions, the party that controls the White House loses congressional seats in a new president's first midterm election.
Around 58 percent of respondents said that they have "just some" or "none" confidence that Obama is the right person to make correct decisions for the country's future. While these numbers may be disturbing for the president, 68 percent said the same about Democrats in Congress and 72 percent held the same view about Republicans. Their is no denying the fact that the results of the November's elections would be affected by the anti-incumbent sentiment. All 435 seats in the House or Representatives would be up for grabs during the November elections in addition to 36 of the 100 Senate seats. The Washington Post noted that Obama’s rating is dropping due to the trouble in the housing industry, slow job growth and other economic woes. Only 43 percent respondents expressed their approval for the way Obama is handling the economy. Around 54 percent are unhappy with Obama’s policies. A total of 1,288 adults participated in the opinion poll, which was run between July 7-11. The poll has a margin of error plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The results must have come as an eye opener for Obama and it is certain that the president would take some immediate actions to check the downfall of his popularity.
Obama's numbers hitting record lows
Public Policy Polling (blog) 7/14 (7/14/10, " Obama approval hits record low ", http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/obama-approval-hits-record-low.html)
Barack Obama's hit a record low in PPP's monthly national polling on his approval numbers. 45% of voters approve of the job he's doing while 52% disapprove. This is the first time he's topped the 50% disapproval mark in our surveys. There isn't any one smoking gun to point to in explaining Obama's diminished standing. In the last month he's seen small increases in the number of voters disapproving of him among Democrats (from 13% to 16%), Republicans (84% to 88%), and independents (55% to 56%) alike. The two most troublesome things for Obama in his numbers at this point are his standing among white voters and independents. Whites now disapprove of Obama by nearly a 2:1 margin, with 62% giving him bad marks and only 35% saying he's doing a good job. With independents his approval is just 40% and 56% disapprove of his performance. Nearly four months after its passage PPP continues not to find any evidence voters
Kathleen Hunter, 7/18/10 – Reporter for CQ Politics (July 18, “House Democrats Regroup to Show United Campaign Front”, http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000003703982),
Van Hollen insisted that Obama “absolutely” was an asset to House Democrats on the campaign trail, saying that the president was “very clearly drawing distinctions” about “what the choices are for voters going forward.” National Republican Congressional Committee ChairmanPete Sessions (Texas) predicted on the same Sunday news show that Republicans would pick up “slightly over 40” seats and win a narrow majority in November. Van Hollen accused Republicans of prematurely “popping the Champagne bottles,” and he expressed confidence that Democrats would beat back Republican attempts to win the House. “We have said all along this is going to be a very tough election ... but we’ve also said, at the end of the day, we’re going to retain the majority in the House,” he said. House Majority Leader Steny H. Hoyerwas similarly confident Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union” that Democrats would maintain control of the House. “I don’t think we’re talking about a big loss” in November, the Maryland Democrat said. He cited the victories of Democrats Bill Owens and Scott Murphy of New York and Mark Critz of Pennsylvania in special elections over the past year, during the height of debate over the health care overhaul and the aftermath of its enactment, as demonstrations of the party’s strength. Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee ChairmanRobert Menendez predicted Democrats also would keep control of the Senate, which most experts do not view as in play, and cast the midterms as “a choice election” in which Republicans will be judged for championing failed economic policies. “Our Republican colleagues who had their hands on the wheel and drove the car off the cliff, into the Grand Canyon in a huge crater, don’t want to take responsibility,” the New Jersey Democrat said on “Meet the Press.”