Strong Australia-Japan relationship key to deter Chinese lashout.
Wardell and Kelly 14—contributors at Reuters (*Jane AND **Tim, “Japan, Australia sign economic partnership pact,” Reuters, 7/8, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/08/us-japan-abe-australia-idUSKBN0FD0AO20140708)//FJ
Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Australian counterpart Tony Abbott on Tuesday signed an economic partnership pact as well as an agreement on military equipment and technology transfers, a week after Abe loosened curbs on Japan's military. Earlier Abe told Australia's parliament that the two nations were launching a "special relationship" of cooperationon areas such asdefence after putting aside any lingering enmity from World War Two. Abe, warily eying China's rapid military buildup and more assertive claims to islands held by Japan in the East China Sea, has been courting governments from Canberra to Southeast Asia in recent months. China is Australia's largest trading partner. "The door for dialogue is always open from the Japanese side so I do sincerely hope that the Chinese side also take the same posture," Abe told a press conference after signing the Japan-Australian Economic Partnership Agreement. "China along with Japan and Australia should play a greater role for peace and prosperity in the Asia Pacific region," he said. The military deal "will make the first cut engraving the special relationship in our future", Abe earlier told a joint parliamentary session, the first such speech by a Japanese leader. Mirroring a partnership concluded with Britain a year ago, it will establish a framework for industrial cooperation that could pave the way for a deal on building a fleet of stealth submarines for Australia. Abe has been forging a more assertive defence and security posture in his year-and-a-half in office. In April, he eased a four-decade ban on military exports, which could allow Japan to ship submarine components or even completed vessels to Australia. A week ago, Abe's cabinet reinterpreted the pacifist constitution to allow Japan's military to defend friendly nations under attack.. "As a nation that longs for permanent peace in the world, and as a country whose economy is among the biggest, Japan is now determined to do more to enhance peace in the region and peace in the world," said Abe.
Conflict is uniquely likely – multiple flashpoints for conflict.
Farley 14—an assistant professor at the University of Kentucky's Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce (Robert, “Asia's Greatest Fear: A U.S.-China War,” The National Interest, 6/9, http://nationalinterest.org/feature/asia-flames-us-china-war-10621)//FJ
Fifteen years ago, the only answers to “How would a war between the People’s Republic of China and the United States start?” involved disputes over Taiwan or North Korea. A Taiwanese declaration of independence, a North Korean attack on South Korea, or some similar triggering event would force the PRC and the US reluctantly into war. This has changed. The expansion of Chinese interests and capabilities means that we can envision several different scenarios in which direct military conflict between China and the United States might begin. These still include a Taiwan scenario and North Korea scenario, but now also involve disputes in the East and South China Seas, as well as potential conflict with India along the Tibetan border.The underlying factors are the growth of Chinese power, Chinese dissatisfaction with the US-led regional security system, and US alliance commitments to a variety of regional states. As long as these factors hold, the possibility for war will endure.