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Blockade K2 Winning China War



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Blockade K2 Winning China War

A blockade is key to win a war – they are trade reliant


Mirski, 13 – junior fellow in the South Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (Sean, “The Context, Conduct and Consequences of an American Naval Blockade of China,” Journal of Strategic Studies, 12 Feb 2013, http://carnegieendowment.org/2013/02/12/stranglehold-context-conduct-and-consequences-of-american-naval-blockade-of-china/fowj)//eek

The Strategic Context of a Blockade China’s economy relies intensely on maritime trade, especially with regards to oil imports. In keeping with its reputation as the ‘world’s workshop’, China depends on imported raw materials to export finished goods. Trade dominates China’s export-oriented economy, comprising 52.1 per cent of China’s GDP (of which 90 per cent is seaborne).6 The People’s Republic is known for being the world’s largest exporter of merchandise goods ($1.6 trillion in 2010), but it is also the world’s second largest importer of merchandise goods ($1.4 trillion in 2010) and the world’s third largest importer of natural resources ($330 billion in 2008).7 Most strikingly, China’s energy security is closely tied to its reliance on imported oil. In 2011, China purchased almost 60 per cent of its oil abroad – an astounding 5.7 million barrels per day – and it then depended on maritime transport to bring 90 per cent of that oil home.8 The country is intensely and irreplaceably reliant on oil in the industrial and transportation sectors, and will become even more so in the foreseeable future.9 China’s Achilles’ heel may well be imported oil. In the context of a Sino-American war, the United States could try to take China’s greatest national strength – its export-oriented, booming economic growth model – and transform it into a major military weakness. To do so, the United States would implement a naval blockade of China that attempted to choke off most of China’s maritime trade. Under the right conditions, the United States might be able to secure victory by debilitating China’s economy severely enough to bring it to the negotiating table.11




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