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2005 Regional Transportation Coordination Strategy


Table of Contents


Regional Transportation Coordination Strategy 2

Heart of Texas Rural Transit District 2

Area Analysis 3

Population 3

Population Projections 4

6

Emergency Management 6



Definitions 7

Regional Coordination of Transportation Services 8

Planning Process 9

Strategy for Preparing Heart of Texas Regional Transportation Coordination Plan 10

Transportation Coordination Planning Approach 10

Task 1: Establish Coordination Plan Goals/Objectives 13

Task 2: Inventory Current Conditions 16

Task 3: Identify Opportunities to Achieve Goals for Regional Transportation Coordination 20

Task 4: Evaluate and Create a Short List of Opportunities for Regional Transportation Coordination 21

Task 5: Develop Draft Regional Transportation Coordination Plan 23

Task 6: Complete Heart of Texas Regional Transportation Coordination Plan (2006) and Submit to Texas Transportation Commission 24

Budget 25

Transportation Code 27

Issues and Opportunities 29

City Population 32

Traffic Accidents 33

Transportation Web Sites 33

Regional Transportation Coordination Strategy

Heart of Texas Rural Transit District

The Heart of Texas Council of Governments began coordinating transportation services in this six-county area in 1989 with the formation of the Transportation Advisory Committee. In May of 1990, the Committee adopted a fare schedule and later that year purchased a number of vehicles for the use of transportation subcontractors. In the mid 1990s the Heart of Texas Rural Transit District was formally established.


The purpose of this planning process is to develop a regional, cooperative service plan for the Heart of Texas. In order to focus attention on the challenges facing this region, the planning committee will include the following local representation:

  • Rural Officials

  • Heart of Texas Council of Governments

  • Heart of Texas Economic Development District

  • Health and Human Services

  • Heart of Texas Workforce

  • Transportation Managers

  • TXDOT

  • Private Sector

  • Waco MPO

The primary goals of the Regional Service Plan as outlined in Article 13, Statewide Coordination of Public Transportation, will be to:



  • Eliminate waste in the provision of public transportation services;

  • Generate efficiencies that will permit increased levels of service; and

  • Further the state's efforts to reduce air pollution.

Central to these goals will be the emphasis on cooperation and coordination among transportation providers, regional transportation districts, and eligible clients. The plan will incorporate the development of inter-local agreements among transportation providers and across service boundaries both to eliminate overlapping service and to fill gaps where service is lacking. A comprehensive plan will include transportation for:



  • Clients needing serious medical service

  • Routine medical appointments

  • Elderly and Disabled Transportation

  • Clients of State Human Services agencies

  • Transportation to jobs or job training

  • Emergency or Disaster Response

  • Other purposes

Area Analysis


The Heart of Texas Rural Transit District consists of Bosque, Falls, Freestone, Hill, Limestone, and McLennan Counties. The City of Waco in McLennan County is the only metropolitan city in the six counties. The geography of this region is a combination of tablelands and irregular plains ranging to hilly in the west, with altitudes varying from 209 to 1,200 feet above sea level. The mean minimum temperature is 33 to 36 degrees Fahrenheit and the mean maximum temperature ranges from 95 to 97 degrees Fahrenheit. Rainfall averages about 36 inches a year. This area has abundant lakes, rivers and streams that are popular for recreation and help provide municipal water supplies.

Population

Heart of Texas area population grew modestly from 1990 through 2004, slightly under the U. S. growth rate, but well below the statewide increase. In 2000 this area’s population was older than the state and national averages, reflecting a trend for younger residents to relocate to larger metropolitan areas in search of higher paying jobs.




 Table 1: Population

 

2004

2000-2004 increase

2000

1990-2000 increase

1990

Bosque

18,002

4.6%

17,204

13.7%

15,125

Falls

17,665

-4.9%

18,576

4.9%

17,712

Freestone

18,597

4.1%

17,867

13.0%

15,818

Hill

35,157

8.8%

32,321

19.1%

27,146

Limestone

22,763

3.2%

22,051

5.3%

20,946

McLennan

222,439

4.2%

213,517

12.9%

189,123

Heart of Texas

336,627

4.0%

323,536

12.4%

287,860

Texas

22,490,022

7.9%

20,851,820

22.8%

16,986,510

U. S.

293,655,404

4.3%

281,421,906

13.2%

24,870,873

Source: U. S. Census




Table 2: Population Characteristics

 

Median Age

65 & Over

With Disability (21-64)

Avg. Travel Time to Work (min)

Median Family Income

Per Capita Income

Families Below Poverty

Individuals Below Poverty

Bosque

41.7

20.5%

19.5%

31

$40,763

$17,455

8.9%

12.7%

Falls

36.5

16.9%

28.6%

25

$32,666

$14,311

18.8%

22.6%

Freestone

37.8

16.4%

22.2%

23.8

$39,586

$16,338

9.8%

14.2%

Hill

38.3

17.3%

26.4%

29.4

$37,791

$15,514

11.9%

15.7%

Limestone

37.4

16.4%

25.0%

21.5

$36,924

$14,352

14.4%

17.8%

McLennan

31.9

12.9%

21.5%

20

$41,414

$17,174

12.4%

17.6%

TX

32.3

9.9%

19.9%

25.4

$45,861

$19,617

12.0%

15.4%

U. S.

35.3

12.4%

19.2%

25.5

$50,046

$21,587

9.2%

12.4%

Source: Census 2000

The rural counties of Bosque, Falls, Freestone, Hill, and Limestone had higher than the state or national average median age and a higher percentage of residents over age 65. Falls, Hill, and Limestone Counties had a higher percentage of persons with disability between the ages of 21 and 64. The highest poverty rates were in Falls County, followed by Limestone and McLennan Counties. The lowest per-capita incomes were in Falls and Limestone Counties. Average travel times to work varied from 20 to 31 minutes. McLennan County had the shortest average trip time and has the largest portion of the region’s population. Thus, regional commute travel times are roughly 20% shorter than the state and national averages.



Population Projections

The Texas State Data Center develops population predictions using a cohort-component projection model. Special populations, fertility rates, mortality rates, and residual migration rates are among the variables incorporated into the model. Texas State Data Center calculates several different migration scenarios but most often recommends the 0.5 Scenario for data users.


Projections from the Texas State Data Center show that the elderly population in the Heart of Texas area will be increasing at a faster rate than the general population over the next 35 years. Total population will increase over 100,000 and the population age 65 and over will grow more than 33,000. Statewide population will increase at an even faster pace, with an estimated growth of 71.5% compared with 34.3% in the Heart of Texas. Population over age 65 will gain 211% statewide compared with a 71.5% increase in the Heart of Texas.


Table 3: Population and Projections--Total

Migration Scenario 0.5




2000

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

Bosque

17,204

18,624

19,549

20,474

22,048

23,391

Falls

18,576

19,673

20,284

20,790

21,680

22,308

Freestone

17,867

19,106

19,788

20,374

21,107

21,647

Hill

32,321

36,565

38,938

41,271

45,591

49,804

Limestone

22,051

23,842

24,917

25,842

27,297

28,571

McLennan

213,517

231,711

241,913

251,434

268,886

285,971

Total

321,536

349,521

365,389

380,185

406,609

431,692

Cumulative Growth

8.7%

13.6%

18.2%

26.5%

34.3%

Texas

20,851820

24,330,643

26,156,761

28,005,792

31,830,579

35,761,159

TX Growth Rate

16.7%

25.4%

34.3%

52.7%

71.5%




Table 4: Population and Projections--Age 65 and Over

Migration Scenario 0.5




2000

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

Bosque

3535

4235

5037

5775

7299

7221

Falls

3133

3276

3536

4060

4972

4583

Freestone

2932

3348

3898

4403

5213

4956

Hill

5584

6930

8254

9891

12682

12982

Limestone

3614

4176

4850

5601

6786

6691

McLennan

27,449

28,700

31,335

35,046

41,712

42,887

Total

46,247

50,665

56,910

64,776

78,664

79,320

% of Total

14.4%

14.5%

15.6%

17.0%

19.3%

18.4%

Cumulative Growth

9.6%

23.1%

40.1%

70.1%

71.5%

Texas

2,072,532

2,537,139

3,050821

3,710,061

5,264,886

6,448,221

TX % of Total

9.9%

10.4%

11.7%

13.2%

16.5%

18.0%

TX Growth Rate

22.4%

47.2%

79.0%

154.0%

211.1%

Source: Texas State Data Center and










Office of the State Demographer.













Table 5: Population and Projections by Race/Ethnicity

State of Texas

Migration Scenario 0.5

Year

Total

Anglo

Black

Hispanic

Other

2000

20,851,820

53.1%

11.6%

32.0%

3.3%

2010

24,330,643

47.4%

11.3%

37.3%

4.0%

2015

26,156,761

44.7%

11.1%

39.9%

4.3%

2020

28,006,792

42.1%

10.9%

42.4%

4.5%

2030

31,830,579

37.0%

10.3%

47.6%

5.1%

2040

35,761,159

32.2%

9.5%

52.6%

5.7%



















Table 6: Population and Projections by Race/Ethnicity

Heart of Texas

Migration Scenario 0.5

Year

Total

Anglo

Black

Hispanic

Other

2000

321,536

67.6%

15.0%

16.2%

1.2%

2010

349,521

62.2%

15.2%

21.2%

1.4%

2015

365,389

59.5%

15.1%

23.8%

1.5%

2020

380,185

56.8%

15.0%

26.6%

1.6%

2030

406,609

51.1%

14.5%

32.6%

1.8%

2040

431,692

45.3%

13.8%

38.9%

2.0%



















Source: Texas State Data Center and







Office of the State Demographer.






Projections by race and ethnicity show Hispanics will be a rapidly expanding proportion of total population, both Statewide and in the Heart of Texas. By 2040, Hispanics will comprise over half of Texas residents and almost 40 percent of people living in the Heart of Texas.



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