Computational Modeling of Complex Socio-Technical Systems



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Analyzing Computational Models – N systems








Kathleen M. Carley, 1999, "On Generating Hypotheses Using Computer Simulations." Systems Engineering, 2(2): 69-77.

Required




R.Axtell, R.Axelrod, J. M.Epstein, and M. D.Cohen. Aligning simulation models: A case study and results. Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, 1(2): 123--142, 1996.

Required




Burton, R. M. and B. Obel (1995). "Validation and Docking: An Overview, Summary and Challenge." Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory 1(1): 57-71.

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JPC Kleijnen (2008) Simulation experiments in practice: statistical design and regression analysis. Journal of Simulation (2008) 2, 19-27

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SMA - ch 10 pp 548-576 (Comparing Alternative Systems Configurations)

Required




Li-Chiou Chen, Kathleen M. Carley, Douglas Fridsma, Boris Kaminsky, Alex Yahja. Model alignment of anthrax attack simulations. CASOS working paper.

Background




Kathleen Carley, Johan Kjaer-Hansen, Allen Newell & Michael Prietula, 1992. "Plural-Soar: a Prolegomenon to Artificial Agents and Organizational Behavior ," in Artificial Intelligence in Organization and Management Theory, eds. Michael Masuch & Massimo Warglien, Amsterdam: North-Holland, Ch. 4.

Background










R 2/9

Lab





Week 5: System Dynamics





M 2/13

Assignment #3 out- develop and run a simple SD model




W 2/15

SSS – ch 3 (System Dynamics and World Models)

Required




BD – ch 1 (Learning in and about Complex Systems)

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BD – ch 2 (2.1,2.2,2.3,2.5) (System Dynamics in Action)

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BD – ch 4 (Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems)

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BD – ch 10 (10.1, 10.2, 10.3) (Path Dependence and Positive Feedback)

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BD – ch 8 (Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures)

Background




BD – ch 9 (S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products)

Background




Sastry, Anjali, 2001. Understanding dynamic complexity in organizational evolution: A system dynamics apporach. In A. Lomi and E. Larsen (Eds.), Dynamics of Organizations: Computational Modeling and Organization Theories. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Background




Michael Goodman and Richard Karash,
"Six Steps to Thinking Systemically", The Systems Thinker, Vol 6, No 2, March 1995 http://www.appliedsystemsthinking.com/supporting_documents/PracticeSixSteps.pdf

Background




Tabor, M. "Dynamics in the Phase Plane." §1.3 in Chaos and Integrability in Nonlinear Dynamics: An Introduction. New York: Wiley, pp. 13-20, 1989.

Background




System Archetypes, William Braun (2002).Tabor, M. "Dynamics in the Phase Plane." §1.3 in Chaos and Integrability in Nonlinear Dynamics: An Introduction. New York: Wiley, pp. 13-20, 1989.

Background




System Archetypes, William Braun (2002)..

Background




Background Materials and Links

Background




Beer Game. The BeerGame is a logistics game that was originally developed by MIT in the 60s and has since been played all over the world by people at all levels, from students to presidents of big multinational groups. Now it is your turn. http://www.masystem.com/beergame

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Beer Game. Developed by MIT Forum for Supply Chain Innovation. http://beergame.mit.edu/

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Simple Beer Distribution Game Simulator. Download here a free management flight simulator version of the Beer Distribution Game. This simulator was developed by Matthew Forrester and AT Kearney, and is provided here at no charge. The simulator runs on PCs (sorry no Macintosh version). http://web.mit.edu/jsterman/www/SDG/MFS/simplebeer.html

Background




Beer Game: Vensim equations. Chapter 4: The Beer Game. Business Process Analysis Workshops: System Dynamics Models. http://www.public.asu.edu/~kirkwood/sysdyn/SDWork/SDWork.htm

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Forrester Consulting: System Dynamics Links. http://www.forresterconsulting.com/Resources.html

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The System Dynamics Review journal. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1099-1727

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Ventana Systems, Inc. http://www.vensim.com/ Ventana publishes Vensim which is used for constructing models of business, scientific, environmental, and social systems.

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ISEE Systems: STELLA & iThink Software. http://www.hps-inc.com/

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delta performance systems: Examples of systems dynamics thinking. http://www.dpsnet.com/system/example.htm

Background

R 2/16

Lab





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